A finance director insists on a signed twelve-month plan naming every feature and its delivery month before he will release next year's budget, saying he cannot fund work that has no plan. The Product Owner is ready to invent the dates to get the money. What is the Scrum Master's best course?

Professional Scrum Master I, objective 2. Developing people and teams hard

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The options

Not correct Help the Product Owner produce the twelve-month feature list, then revise it quietly each quarter

Wrong, and it is what most teams actually do. A plan everyone privately knows is fiction destroys the transparency that decisions are supposed to rest on, and the director keeps funding on the basis of it.

Correct Coach the director toward an empirical approach — a Product Goal, funding a team rather than a feature list, and inspecting real Increments to steer the year

Correct. Helping employees and stakeholders understand and enact an empirical approach for complex work is a named organisational service, and the director's real need — confidence in his money — is better met by evidence than by dates.

Not correct Refuse to engage with budgeting, since forecasting is outside the Scrum framework

Wrong. The Guide notes that forecasting practices are useful; what it warns is that they do not replace empiricism. Abandoning the conversation leaves the Product Owner to sign the fiction alone.

Not correct Have the Developers estimate all twelve months of work so at least the dates are defensible

Wrong, and it is the diligent-looking option. Long-range estimates of unstarted work in a complex domain are still a projection of the unknown; more effort does not make them knowledge.

Why

In a complex environment only what has already happened may be used for forward-looking decisions, so the honest response to a demand for certainty is a different mechanism for confidence, not a better-dressed guess. That conversation happens outside the team, with people who control money and governance, which is why the Guide names it as service to the organisation. Notice the pattern: the Scrum Master neither complies nor refuses; he teaches.

Where this comes from

Cited
Scrum Guide section Scrum Master
What it says
Helping employees and stakeholders understand and enact an empirical approach for complex work

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